Mixed fortunes for West London teams in Premier League predictions

Deciding exactly which Premier League predictions are worth their salt can be tricky, so taking a trip into the relatively niche world of spread betting can offer some crucial insight into how the coming months will pan out.

The betting experts at bookmakers.tv have analysed the points predictions from different spread betting sites to give us a steer.

Premier League champions Manchester City may have lost captain Ilkay Gundogan but they’re predicted to retain the title at a canter. The fact they’re favourites is hardly a groundbreaking revelation but the ease of their predicted victory is far more eye-catching, with the winning margin doubled from five to ten points.

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Arsenal are again expected to be City’s nearest rivals, but are set to score seven points less than they did last time out. Manchester United are again predicted to take one of the Champions League spots, but it’s Liverpool rather than Newcastle that we should be keeping an eye on to complete the top four.

Of the biggest movers, Chelsea are set to make a huge 23 point jump as they try to bounce back from their lowest points tally since suffering relegation from the top flight in 1988. There can be few doubts that Mauricio Pochettino is a huge upgrade on Frank Lampard, but it would still be some achievement to orchestrate such a swift turnaround in fortunes, particularly after Christopher Nkunku suffered a lengthy injury blow.

If the tea leaves are predicting a brighter picture at Stamford Bridge, the outlook is far more uncertain a few miles down the road. Both Brentford and Fulham are pencilled in to end up over 10 points behind their previous totals, a drop that would see Brentford slip back into the bottom half of the league and Fulham drawn into the relegation scrap.

The cause for concern is understandable – Brentford must cope without Ivan Toney until mid-January, while Fulham struggle to fend off Saudi interest in Aleksandar Mitrovic and Willian – but again the scale of their falloffs feels on the extreme side.

Thankfully for Fulham fans, 41 points would still give them a hint of breathing space in the fight for survival, with Nottingham Forest (37 points) seen as the most likely team to join Sheffield Utd (31) and Luton (30) in the Championship in 12 months time. Whether Julen Lopetegui’s departure from Molineux causes a late shift in that view remains to be seen.

*Predictions based on spread betting quotes at 10th August 2023

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