Who will survive in the Bundesliga?

As the Bundesliga season draws to a close, we see a tightly contested relegation zone.

With Paderborn’s relegation all but confirmed, there are two relegation spots left, one being automatic relegation and the other being a playoff place.

In this article, we will provide analysis of each team in the mix and evaluate their chances of survival.

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Werder Bremen

Currently 17th place with 25 points, Werder Bremen are favorites for automatic relegation.

Werder Bremen have a dreadful goalscoring record, with just 30 goals scored this term. Nonetheless, their defensive record isn’t a contrast to this, they have conceded a lackluster 62 goals this season.

It’s fair to say Werder have been rather uninspiring at the Weserstadion this season, with just one win and a scandalous ten losses. Despite their destitute home form, they have been considerably superior on the road, with five wins in fifteen games.

Everton flop, Davy Klaasen, has been a standout performer Die Werderaner this season. The Dutchman has four goals and four assists in 28 appearances, as well as having the highest average match rating in the Werder Bremen squad.

Klaasen has created 36 chances this season and has also done his fair share of defensive work, with 36 clearances and 38 interceptions.

A distinctive performance from Klaasen this season has to be in Bremen’s 2-2 draw with Hertha Berlin. Klaasen scored Die Werderaner’s second goal and completed 27 accurate passes, additionally accumulating a match rating of 8.2, claiming the man of the match.

Budding manager, Florian Kohfeldt, has been in charge of Werder Bremen since October 2017.

Kohfeldt’s first two seasons in charge were favorable, with 11th place and eighth place finishes, however, this season has been a challenging one for Kohfedlt as Werder Bremen find themselves amongst the relegation places.

Florian’s managerial record is rather moderate, with a total of 97 games in charge and a win percentage of 35%.

Die Werderaner have an intriguing run-in, with their last three games consisting of title favorites Bayern Munich, Koln and relegation rivals Mainz.

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Fortuna Dusseldorf

Fortuna Dusseldorf are currently on 27 points and are in the relegation qualification place, 16th.

Dusseldorf have a disastrous home record, with just four wins at home this season. Their away record isn’t any better either, with just two wins on the road this season.

Goalscoring has been a real complication for Fortunen this season, with just 31 goals scored in 29 games, Dusseldorf have the second-worst goalscoring record in the Bundesliga.

Rouwen Hennings has been a pivotal player for Fortuna this season, the forward is Dusseldorf’s top scorer, netting 12 times in 27 games.

At 32 years of age, Hennings is approaching the end of his career. Hennings has spent the majority of career playing in Germany, however, Hennings had a one-season spell in English football, playing for Burnley in the championship in the 2015/2016 season.

Hennings has been at Dusseldorf since the summer of 2016. Rouwen has a favorable goal scoring record for Fortuna, with 49 goals in 139 appearances.

Dusseldorf manager, Uwe Rosler, has a great deal of experience as a head coach, managing across Europe. Rosler’s management career began in 2004 at the Norweigian club, Lillestrom.

Rosler had a seven-year management spell in England with four different clubs, Brentford, Wigan Athletic, Leeds United, and Fleetwood Town.

Rosler was appointed as Dusseldorf manager in January, and it’s fair to say he’s done an average at the best job so far, as Dusseldorf are still fighting against relegation.

Fortuna have a moderate run-in, with their last three games consisting of RB Leipzig, Augsburg, and Union Berlin.

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Mainz

Out of the three fighting relegation, Mainz are currently the favorites to stay up. Die Nullfunfer have 28 points in 29 games and are currently one point above the relegation places.

Mainz have been uninspiring at home this season, with just four wins at the Opel Arena. However, they have a somewhat better away record with four wins on the road, ranked 12th on the away form table.

Die Nullfunfer have a slightly superior goalscoring record than Bremen and Dusseldorf, with 37 goals scored this season. Nonetheless, their away record is abhorrent, with 62 goals conceded this term.

Left-winger, Robin Quaison, has been immense for Mainz this campaign. The Swede has 12 goals and 2 assists in 28 games and has the highest average match rating in the Dienullfunfer squad.

Quaison is Mainz’s top goalscorer this season and has scored one-third of Mainz’s total goals this season.

Since signing for Nullfunfer in 2017, Quaison has proved to be a successful signing, with 26 goals in 97 appearances for the club.

Mainz manager, Achim Beierlorzer has plenty of experience as a manager, managing four different German teams in his time as a head coach.

Beierlorzer has a win percentage of 34%, with a total of 117 games managed and 40 wins.

Beierlorzer took charge of Mainz in November of last year, Achim has been unable to string together results to fire Mainz up the table and out of danger of relegation.

Mainz have a tenacious run-in, with their last three games consisting of Bayren Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen.

The next month is going to be compelling in terms of the Bundesliga relegation battle. Mainz v Bremen on June 20 could prove to be decisive in who survives and who suffers the heartbreak of relegation.

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Jamie Agar

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