Football is all about goals. When we watch a game, that’s what we want to see…so why not bet on them to happen too?
One of the most popular bets you can place with the online bookmakers is Over or Under 2.5 Goals and you can back some great over 2.5 goals predictions every day in the form of a treble.
You might be wondering a couple of things at this point. It’s been said to us “how can you have .5 of a goal”, and also “why 2.5 and not 1.5 or 3.5?”
Firstly, obviously you can’t have .5 of a goal. The term is merely used to distinguish whether the bet is three or more goals, or two or fewer.
And secondly, it can be Over/Under 1.5 or any other number – it’s just that three is deemed to be the average number of goals per game and so the respective odds for either side of 2.5 tend to be the closest to even-money or, if you like, a 50-50 call.
So, which Premier League matches this weekend do we see as being potential goalfests in which the net will bulge three or more times?
Although, on the face of it, this would not be an obvious candidate, recent history indicates that Newcastle United v Southampton is a good-value selection to include in our treble.
For whatever reason, since Southampton were promoted to the Premier League in 2012, the goals have flowed whenever these clubs have met.
In seven of the nine league matches between them since then at either St James’ Park or St Mary’s Stadium, over 2.5 goals have been scored.
And you can even go further by saying that in six of those nine, there have been over 3.5 goals – that bet in itself can be backed as a single at odds of nearly 4/1 this weekend!
Of course, over 2.5 goals between Newcastle and Southampton is something of an ‘against the grain’ bet this time because the Magpies are the joint lowest scorers at home in the Premier League this season, and that may be why you can get odds of 7/5 for the ‘overs’ in this match.
But, as mentioned above, there just seems to be something in the air that generates goals when these clubs from either end of England go head-to-head.
Having that selection in our treble means we can go for a couple of banker bets to flesh it out and still get rewarding odds, so we will go for Arsenal v Watford on Sunday at 8/15.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in all of the last 10 league and cup meetings between these clubs and the Gunners could do with cheering up their long-suffering fans by recording an emphatic home win.
Finally, even though Stoke City are now more solid defensively under manager Paul Lambert, it is hard to see how they will stop champions-elect Manchester City from scoring a few more goals against them on Monday – the Potters shipped seven at the Etihad Stadium in October.
A tenner on this treble would return over £56. Good luck!
Our Over 2.5 Goals Treble
Newcastle United v Southampton
Arsenal v Watford
Stoke City v Manchester City