For many, betting on a draw in a football game may seem to be a dull and uninspired approach to evaluating a game.
However, wagering on a tight defensive match can be a way to turn a relatively pedestrian affair into a fascinating spectacle, and where many may see a draw as an anticlimactic result, those who intelligently wager on them can maximise their enjoyment of even the most unremarkable tilt.
Know the teams
For many matches in high profile leagues, a draw bet can offer inordinately attractive odds for what is a fairly common occurrence.
Odds on draw results commonly pay out at a rate of 12-5 or more, and skill level disparity and opponent familiarity can make ties much more likely, as draws most often take place between evenly matched sides.
Current information on both teams such as the health of the team and upcoming matches that may require top players be kept in reserve as well as weather conditions that may affect the style of a team’s play is vital to assessing the probability of a draw.
Bookmakers commonly ignore a team’s style of play to evaluate their overall strength as a competitor, and this allows gamblers to take advantage of in-depth knowledge of a team’s overall strategy by free betting at bigfreebet.com.
Teams that concentrate on defending at the expense of attacking potency also play a higher percentage of draws, and matches that pit two low-scoring teams against one another are safe bets for a draw at the end of play as draw games with high goal totals are rare.
Study the numbers
An informed look at the statistics surrounding ties can also yield educated estimates of a match’s potential to end in a draw.
Events such as the World Cup qualifiers, which match teams that rarely play one another, commonly experience draw rates approaching 30 percent and regular associations such as the Premier League having only a slightly lower frequency of draws.
Goal averages can play a part in the likelihood of a draw, as it becomes more probable as fewer goals are scored by both teams.
A recent study of the Premiership and UK Football League over a 10-year period found that teams score an average of 2.57 goals per game and that there was a defined correlation between fewer total goals scored in a team’s season and the amount of draw games in which they participated.