Back Page Betting: Weekend Wagers

by Nick Higgins

It’s a momentous occasion for weekend wagers as our first ante post season bet landed this week at a healthy price of 12/1. Nobody likes to see anyone lose their job, particularly in these tough economic times but I must admit I found it difficult not to flaunt my delight at the news of Steve Bruce’s dismissal, knowing I had pocketed a little extra cash for the upcoming festive season. I hope some of the regular readers were on. It was tipped up in this very column on the 11th August.

While we are in the spirit of good news lets assess the progress of the weekend wager tips so far (betting to level stakes). Last weekend saw a fourth consecutive week of profit, ending with +2.31 points and, since it’s inception, this column’s record reads as follows:

Tips: 34

Winners: 18

Strike rate: 51.5%

Total profit points (including this week’s ante post winner):  +20.71

Onwards and upwards then to this weekend’s Premier League action, and first up it’s an intriguing encounter between an in form Newcastle team and a very much out of form Chelsea side. At this point in time these two are at opposite ends of the spectrum. The Magpies can’t put a foot wrong, they have impressive team spirit and a fantastic defensive record. Chelsea on the other hand are in crisis mode. Dumped out of the Carling Cup by (the mighty) Liverpool in midweek and with their Champions League hopes hanging  by a thread, the pressure is really on. It is no secret that Champions League qualification is of paramount importance for all concerned at Chelsea, not least owner Roman Abramovich who, for want of a better word is obsessed by the elusive trophy. Chelsea will undoubtedly have one eye on their ‘must win’ tie with Valencia next week and Newcastle can take advantage. We have a number of options. Newcastle to win looks a good price at 3/1 with Ladbrokes and Victor Chandler. The ‘Draw no bet’ also looks appealing at 2/1 with Stan James. However, my chosen move here is simply to lay Chelsea on Betfair at 2.14 (about 11/10) ensuring profit as long as the Blues don’t win.

Next up it’s off to see what a dismal Blackburn side can muster against a confident Swansea. Steve Kean (or ‘the joker’ as I like to call him) admitted ‘forfeiting’ their Carling Cup tie with Cardiff in midweek to focus on upcoming ‘crunch’ fixtures for the beleaguered Lancashire outfit. So we can be sure they will go for it here. Blackburn have been a good side to follow for goals this season, landing an over 2.5 goals bet in nine of their 13 league matches so far, and whilst the Swans’ home form is impressive, they are yet to win away from the Liberty Stadium and have been conceding at will, but we know they have potential to create chances, especially against a chaotic defence like Blackburn’s. Four out of their six away games this season have featured four or more goals. The play here is a straight forward over 2.5 goals bet at a best price of evens (Betfair).

The final bet of the weekend comes in Manchester City’s match against Norwich. The Canaries have been impressive this season but it goes without saying that City are a different species of bird (…HAHA!). Whilst Mancini’s men have at times found it difficult to bash open the floodgates at home, most notably against the likes of Swansea, Everton and Wolves, an outstanding best price of 13/10 with Paddy Power for City to win both halves has to be a goer. The same bet is as short as 8/11 elsewhere! I’m on!

Once again, be sure to follow me on twitter (@Trading_sports) for all my thoughts on this weekend’s action including my bookings bets and multiples which are posted (almost) daily.

Have a good weekend! Bet with caution.

 

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